Thursday, May 21, 2020

Louder for the people In the back!

If you supported a baker using religion to discriminate against a same sex couple (using an unposted policy) using the defense of “a privately run business can choose to not serve anyone they wish”, I don’t want to hear you now complain about private businesses’ mask policies...which, by the way, are applied across the board regardless of race, gender, sexual preference, religion, etc.

Monday, May 11, 2020

Can we please compare oranges to oranges?!

I don't know if this is a real tweet, but I've seen this floating around:


I'm getting really tired of people referencing H1N1 and how Obama failed with a pandemic so much worse than the current administration! I'm especially tired of people misrepresenting numbers to match their agenda.

This tweet was made on April 2, 2020. At this point, the numbers he is touting covers a period of about 4 months. The numbers he compares to for H1N1 covers the span of 1 year and are total estimates!!! In the US over that span of time, there was an estimated 60.8 million cases, and only 12,469 deaths...again, this is a 1 year timeframe. Right now, in the US, we are sitting at 1.37 million cases and over 80,000 deaths since this virus was discovered overseas at the end of November 2019. This is a timespan of about 5 months (6 months tops depending on which timeline you look at). In less than half the time, the number of US deaths are about 5x that of H1N1 US deaths, and this is with way fewer infections! The mortality rate of this virus is much higher! But...keep posting the numbers in the way you want to represent them to meet your agenda, as many others continue to die.

And with all these claims that deaths are being misrepresented on death certificates and such to overinflate the numbers, this is not happening! I saw some comment today, "If someone dies of cancer, it is being recorded as a COVID-19 death!" If this were being done, doctors would be losing their licenses! THIS IS ILLEGAL! Why would doctors all across the country risk their livelihood to misrepresent COVID-19 numbers?! Seriously, people!

Thursday, May 7, 2020

"But the flu is just as deadly!"

This is the argument of so many right now who are pushing for the country to be open! I'm tired of seeing this from people who ignore science AND math! Here let me lay this out for you...

Flu Season

October 2019 thru April 2020 (time: 7 months...5 of which were NOT under lockdown)

Preliminary Estimates (note the estimate part, because that is not total tested, but estimates based on those tested...notice the WIDE range):

39,000,000 - 56,000,000 Illnesses
24,000 - 64,000 Deaths


COVID-19

February 2020 through early May 2020 (time: just over 3 months...2 of which were under lockdown)

As of the morning of May 7th (note that this is based on actual testing)

1,260,000 CONFIRMED Illnesses
74,581 Deaths

First of all...do the math! Even on the high end of the flu estimates, the rate of death (deaths divided by illness to get the percentage), is .1%. COVID-19, with current confirmed numbers from testing, is at 5.9%. I get it...it can be argued that there isn't enough testing, and as antibody numbers come in, it can be shown that many more people have actually been infected with the virus, and thus bring the death rate down. HOWEVER, that does not change the number of actual deaths versus the timespan of those deaths! The numbers alone show that COVID-19 is more deadly. Flu numbers are over 7 months, with 5 months of people doing whatever they wish...large gatherings at concerts, sporting events, etc. The COVID-19 has a timespan of about half that of the flu, MOST of that time spent in lockdown...where most businesses were closed, there were no concerts or other large gatherings, etc. More deaths in a shorter amount of time! I hate to see what those numbers are going to look like at the 7 month mark to better match up to the flu season!

I'm going to say this only once...and loudly for the people in the back...death rate is NOT calculated by number of deaths versus the entire population, which is what so many arguing to open the county have been doing in their claims that COVID-19 is no deadlier than the seasonal flu! It is deaths versus the number infected! Learn your math! Learn your science! Wear your dang masks and stay 6 ft away from others...or not, and when this illness hits close to home, MAYBE then you will finally get it!